Tropical Storm Dolly {{dolly ??****

[Jolie Rouge]

How picks out these names ? *DOLLY* ?? :razz:


TROPICAL STORM DOLLY
ADVISORY NUMBER 3
1100 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008

DOLLY APPROACHES THE YUCATAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH MEXICO.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES...290 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 95 MILES...150 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL HEADING WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TOMORROW. THE CENTER OF DOLLY IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND EMERGE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TONIGHT BUT STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AFTER DOLLY ENTERS THE GULF OF MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER. DOLLY COULD PRODUCE WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS OVER THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND IN WESTERN CUBA WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT
POSITION...19.6 N...85.8 W.
MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/210257.shtml

Newscast this evening has her becoming a Hurricane by Tuesday with a track running her up the Gulf to Brownsfield Texas....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/avn.jpg

[luvcub]

lol,she has brewing since early this morning,she looks quite interesting,going to move into the gulf,where you think she will go,will she go to Tx? La.? Ms?
or will she dissolve into the blue? From what I been seeing,she looks very well designed,been watching the updates off and on all day.

[Jolie Rouge]

On the East Coast, we have Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/avn.jpg

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL
ADVISORY NUMBER 9
1100 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008

CRISTOBAL BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE OUTER BANKS.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES... 45 KM...EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK CRISTOBAL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS NEAR 1 INCH ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.

1100 PM EDT POSITION...35.2 N...75.0 W.
MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/210240.shtml

[luvcub]

ya,but he didnt do much,now this one might be a different story,I hope not,but she is sure going strong at this point,looks mighty nasty doesnt she?

[Jolie Rouge]

On the East Coast, we have Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL

Tropical Storm Cristobal heads toward ocean
By ESTES THOMPSON, Associated Press Writer
7 minutes ago

RALEIGH, N.C. - Tropical Storm Cristobal headed for the open Atlantic late Sunday as forecasters discontinued tropical storm warnings along the Carolinas.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Dolly drenched Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and was expected to reach the Gulf of Mexico Monday afternoon.

At 11 p.m. EDT Sunday, the National Hurricane Center said Cristobal's center had moved to 30 miles east of Cape Hatteras with maximum sustained winds near 50 mph. The storm was headed northeast at 9 mph.

The advisory predicted little change in strength over the next day or two.

Cristobal's strongest winds were east of the center, out at sea, National Weather Service meteorologist Rich Bandy said.

Bandy said some rain had fallen over the smoldering wildfire that has burned 64 square miles in Pocosin Lakes National Wildlife Refuge since it was started by lightning June 1.

The Weather Service said Cristobal was expected to produce up to an inch of rain along the North Carolina coast during the next 24 hours.

The prospect of seeing Cristobal head out to sea pleased a fishing captain at Ocracoke, an island south of Cape Hatteras. "Let's get it over with so we can go fishing," said Capt. David Nagel, who has operated the "Drum Stick" charter boat for 31 years. "Nobody's out. Everybody's tied up."

Nagel said he saw ominous clouds looming to the south and the seas outside his harbor were 6 to 8 feet with winds blowing about 25 mph. Rainfall was expected to be 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 to 5 inches in areas where heavy rain bands passed overhead, Bandy said.

Cristobal's winds were expected to push tides 2 to 3 feet above normal. The National Weather Service said a few areas could see flooding from heavy rain.

Minor flooding was reported Saturday in Wilmington, N.C., and the area picked up 3.43 inches of rain, a record for the day.

Dolly, the fourth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, sped toward the Cancun area on Sunday, packing sustained winds near 50 mph and prompting a tropical storm warning for the Yucatan peninsula.

At 11 p.m. EDT, the center of the storm was about 95 miles southeast of Cozumel, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center.

Meanwhile in the Pacific, Hurricane Fausto was expected to continue moving northwest. The storm's maximum sustained winds were near 90 mph and its center was located about 375 miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Forecasters expected the hurricane to weaken to a tropical storm in the next two days.

Tropical storms have maximum sustained winds of at least 39 mph.

The Hurricane Center also said Tropical Storm Bertha had lost its tropical system characteristics and was expected to weaken during the next day or so. The center of Bertha was 850 miles east-northeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs through Nov. 30.

Associated Press Writer Jeffrey Collins in Columbia, S.C., contributed to this report.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_tropical_weather;_ylt=AmZx592BjxaDzF1YbcW.NF6s0 NUE




The thing about Dolly is that if she continues to delevope quickly and hit Tuesday like they think she may ... that is a good thing. She will have little time to build up or change direction. HOWEVER, if she stalls ... ( don't stall, don't stall ) in the warm waters of the Gulf, she can build strength and direction becomes a crap shoot. The Gulf Coast dosn't need any more

[luvcub]

Thats for sure,I was in Katrina,living less than a mile from the ocean front in Gulfport/blxi,we took a very very hard hit.Where are you located?

[Jolie Rouge]

I am in Baton Rouge. I have family in New Orleans, Chalmette, Lake Charles, Waveland, Pass Christian, and Beumont. SO ANYWHERE on the Gulf Coast is bad news ...

[luvcub]

amen to that,maybe it will go away,lets hope!

[Jolie Rouge]

TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 5
1100 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2008

DOLLY NOW OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM BROWNSVILLE NORTHWARD TO PORT O'CONNOR. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 1100 AM EDT A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 1100 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO THE U.S. BORDER AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM LA PESCA MEXICO NORTHWARD TO RIO SAN FERNANDO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 90 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PROGRESO MEXICO.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE DIRECTION OF MOTION. ON THIS TRACK...DOLLY WILL BE APPROACHING THE COAST OF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND DOLLY COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON RECENT AIRCRAFT DATA IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO SIX INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT
POSITION...22.1 N...89.5 W.
MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/210257.shtml

[Jolie Rouge]

TROPICAL STORM DOLLY
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
100 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008

DOLLY MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES AND ALONG THE TEXAS COAST TO PORT O'CONNOR. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA PESCA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO...AND FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.

AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT 475 MILES...765 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COAST OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE DIRECTION OF MOTION. ON THIS TRACK...DOLLY WILL BE APPROACHING THE COAST OF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND DOLLY COULD BECOME
HURRICANE BY TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO SIX INCHES.

REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT
POSITION...22.8 N...90.4 W.
MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.

FORECASTER KNABB

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/210257.shtml


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/143233.shtml?basin#contents

[Jolie Rouge]

Tropical Storm Dolly in warm Gulf of Mexico
2 hours, 48 minutes ago

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Tropical Storm Dolly was over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico on Monday and could become a hurricane by Tuesday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said in its latest report.

Weather models show the storm crossing the western Gulf and striking the South Texas coast on Wednesday. Some models showed a strike near the Texas border with Mexico, while others showed Dolly hitting further north along the coast near Corpus Christi, Texas.

A hurricane watch was issued for the Texas coast from Brownsville northward to Port O'Connor. A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 36 hours.

A tropical storm watch was issued for the Texas coast from north of Port O'Connor to San Luis Pass, the NHC said.

Dolly was moving west-northwest at nearly 18 miles per hour, with a gradual decrease in forward speed and little change in direction expected for the next couple of days. Dolly was expected to approach the coast of the western Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds were near 50 mph with higher gusts.

The NHC was also issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal, about 190 miles east-northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, and was monitoring a large, well-defined tropical wave just inland over extreme western Africa.

The NHC said the wave had the potential for some development after it emerges into the eastern Atlantic within the next day or so.

Energy traders watch for storms that could enter the Gulf of Mexico and threaten U.S. oil and gas production facilities.

Shell Oil Co said it began flying workers from platforms in the western Gulf on Sunday ahead of Dolly. Shell said there was no impact to production.

Commodities traders also watch storms that could hit agriculture crops like cotton in Texas and citrus in Florida.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080721/ts_nm/weather_dolly_position_dc;_ylt=Al1nMJvsu.6z7DUDl7l _.sqs0NUE


Hurricane watch issued for parts of Texas, Mexico
1 hour, 14 minutes ago

MIAMI - A hurricane watch was issued for parts of the Texas and Mexico coasts Monday as Tropical Storm Dolly entered the Gulf of Mexico.

Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center in Miami said the watch in Texas extended from Brownsville to Port O'Connor. The government of Mexico also issued a hurricane watch from Rio San Fernando northward to the U.S. border.

At 11 a.m. EDT, the center of the storm was about 55 miles north-northeast of Progreso, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds were near 50 mph.

A tropical storm watch was also in effect on the Texas coast from north of Port O'Connor to San Luis Pass and from La Pesca, Mexico, northward to Rio San Fernando.

Dolly is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Cristobal was moving northeast over the Atlantic after bringing weekend rain to the Carolinas. At 11 a.m. EDT, it was located about 190 miles east-northeast of Cape Hatteras, N.C., and about 725 miles southwest of Halifax, Nova Scotia, with maximum sustained winds near 65 mph.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080721/ap_on_re_us/tropical_weather;_ylt=AkzwbC3Jr2yIWVYM_GhODrtg.3QA



Shell Oil Co said it began flying workers from platforms in the western Gulf on Sunday ahead of Dolly. Shell said there was no impact to production.

This is what my brother does, he supervises the evac and shut down of deep water rigs in the Gulf.

[Jolie Rouge]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT04/refresh/AL0408W_sm2+gif/143233W_sm.gif


TROPICAL STORM DOLLY
ADVISORY NUMBER 6
400 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008

DOLLY EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE WESTERN GULF.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD ACROSS THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES AND ALONG THE TEXAS COAST TO PORT O'CONNOR.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA PESCA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO...AND FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS.

WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREAS
LATER TONIGHT.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST OR ABOUT 420 MILES...680 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COAST OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...AND WILL BE NEAR THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST BY WEDNESDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND DOLLY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE REACHING THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO SIX INCHES.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT
POSITION...23.1 N...91.2 W.
MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT.

FORECASTER KNABB

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/211800.shtml?

[Jolie Rouge]

TROPICAL STORM DOLLY
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
700 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008

DOLLY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT JOGS WESTWARD.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD...ACROSS THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES...AND ALONG THE TEXAS COAST TO PORT O'CONNOR.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA PESCA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO AND FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREAS LATER TONIGHT.

AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES...610 KM...EAST OF LA CRUZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 405 MILES...650 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS DOLLY HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...25 KM/HR. HOWEVER...A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...AND WILL BE NEAR THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST BY WEDNESDAY.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT DOLLY IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED... ALTHOUGH THE MAXIMUM WINDS REMAIN NEAR NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO SIX INCHES.

REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT
POSITION...23.1 N...91.8 W.
MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/211800.shtml?


"don't stall ... don't stall ... don't stall ... :pray

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/refresh/danger_atl_latestBW_sm2+gif/143233123_sm.gif

[Jolie Rouge]

TROPICAL STORM DOLLY
ADVISORY NUMBER 7
1000 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008

...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 10 PM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 10 PM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES.

AT 10 PM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.8 WEST OR ABOUT 320 MILES...515 KM...EAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT 435 MILES...695 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 M
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4-6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT
POSITION...23.1 N...92.8 W.
MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/220302.shtml

[wobblypops]

This was my late MIL's name & if this storm is going to be anything like her I pity anyone in its path because she always dragged her feet & it will take her forever to leave.

I hope anyone near this storm is safe & sound.

[PrincessArky]

This was my late MIL's name & if this storm is going to be anything like her I pity anyone in its path because she always dragged her feet & it will take her forever to leave.


LOL

MIAMI, Florida (CNN) -- Tropical Storm Dolly intensified early Tuesday in the western Gulf of Mexico, forecasters with the National Hurricane Center said.
Tropical Storm Dolly was headed toward Texas and Mexico at 8:45 p.m. ET on Monday.


A flurry of warnings were issued along the coasts of Texas and Mexico overnight. The center's tracking map shows the storm coming ashore as a hurricane on Wednesday, around the Texas-Mexico border.

Hurricane warnings were in effect along about 200 miles of coastline from Rio San Fernando in Mexico northward to Port O'Connor, Texas. A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

Tropical storm warnings stretched south of Rio San Fernando to La Pesca, Mexico and north of Port O'Connor to San Luis Pass, Texas.

At 5 a.m., the storm with its 60 mph winds was centered about 295 miles (475 km) southeast of Brownsville, Texas.

The storm's was moving to the west near 15 mph, but was expected to gradually turn toward the northwest by Wednesday. Dolly's forward motion was forecast to slow, giving the storm more time to intensify over the warm gulf waters. iReport.com: Are you ready for hurricane season?

"All odds are now that we're looking at Category 1 hurricane on the Texas coast by midday Wednesday," said Bill Read, director of the hurricane center. hurricane center

A Category 1 hurricane carries sustained winds between 74-95 mph (119-153 km/h.)

Dolly is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated amounts of 15 inches over much of south Texas and northeastern Mexico over the next few days, forecasters said. Video Watch as Dolly is expected to strengthen over the Gulf of Mexico »

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Cristobal paralleled the Atlantic Seaboard as it slowly began losing steam.

At 5 a.m., Cristobal was speeding toward the east-northeast near 21 mph, about 485 miles (780 km) northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina and about 450 miles (720 km) south-southwest of Halifax, Nova Scotia.
advertisement

The storm was packing 60 mph winds, but is expected to weaken over the next 24 hours.

The Atlantic hurricane season began June 1 and runs through November.


http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/weather/07/21/tropical.weather/index.html

with any luck she will drop me some rain.......we are about to dry up here :(

[Jolie Rouge]

TROPICAL STORM DOLLY
ADVISORY NUMBER 9
1000 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

DOLLY NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM NORTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI TO PORT O'CONNOR HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI...AND FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.

AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES...370 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A GENERAL NORTHWEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED DURING THE ENXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CORE OF DOLLY NEAR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT
POSITION...24.0 N...94.5 W.
MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/220302.shtml

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/GULFWV.JPG

[Jolie Rouge]

HELLO DOLLY !
Yes, she made it to Hurricane status ....[/b]


HURRICANE DOLLY
ADVISORY NUMBER 10
400 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

DOLLY BECOMES A HURRICANE THE SECOND OF THE 2008 HURRICANE
SEASON... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI...AND FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES... 265 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CORE OF DOLLY NEAR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO REACH THE COASTS OF NORTHEAST MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS LATER TONIGHT.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT HAS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER AND MIDDLE TEXAS COASTS.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT
POSITION...24.6 N...95.3 W.
MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[Jolie Rouge]

In order to appreciate the size of these storms, I have to tell you that we are getting rain storms in South East Louisiana near the LA/MS border from the outer bands of a storm targeting the lower Texas/Mexican border...

[PrincessArky]

In order to appreciate the size of these storms, I have to tell you that we are getting rain storms in South East Louisiana near the LA/MS border from the outer bands of a storm targeting the lower Texas/Mexican border...

hey send it here please.......we are drying up quickly

[Jolie Rouge]

HURRICANE DOLLY
ADVISORY NUMBER 11
1000 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

DOLLY A LITTLE STRONGER...MOVING A LITTLE SLOWER.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES... 175 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A FURTHER REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO REACH THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE DATA IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT
POSITION...25.1 N...96.0 W.
MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.


FORECASTER FRANKLIN



She has dropped her speed by half since developing the wind speed to class as a Cat 1 ... not good.... if she stalls she could pick up power in the warm waters.

[Jolie Rouge]

HURRICANE DOLLY
ADVISORY NUMBER 13
1000 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

DOLLY VERY NEAR THE TEXAS COAST WITH 100 MPH WINDS EYE SHOULD CROSS THE COAST IN A FEW HOURS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI TO PORT O'CONNOR.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.

AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED BY RADAR AND A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WILL BE CROSSING THE COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER IN A FEW HOURS. PERSONS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUTDOORS DURING THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE EYE BECAUSE WINDS WILL SOON INCREASE QUITE RAPIDLY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. PORT ISABEL AIRPORT JUST MEASURED 54 MPH...87 KM/HR SUSTAINED WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH...113 KM/HR. AN UNOFFICIAL OBSERVER JUST EAST OF MATAMOROS MEXICO REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH...105 KM/HR WITH GUSTS TO 119 MPH...192 KM/HR.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS IS 964 MB...28.47 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT
POSITION...26.0 N...97.0 W.
MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1200 PM CDT AND 200 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/220302.shtml


Dolly lashes Texas coast as Category 2 hurricane
19 minutes ago

BROWNSVILLE, Texas - Hurricane Dolly churned into a Category 2 storm as its eye neared the Texas-Mexico border Wednesday, bringing fierce winds and heavy rains that blew down signs, damaged an apartment complex and knocked out electricity to thousands.

Forecasters warned of up to 15 inches of rain that could produce flooding and breach levees in the heavily populated Rio Grande Valley. Thunderstorms were attributed to Dolly as far away as Houston, 400 miles up the Texas coastline.

In Mexico, fields were filling with water, palm trees were bent over in the wind and beaches were closed to the public.

Maria Miguel, 102, and seven family members fled their wooden shack in the fishing community of Higuerilla and spent the night at a convention center-turned-shelter in Matamoros. "I don't know if my poor house will withstand the rain and wind," Miguel said.

Mexican soldiers made a last-minute attempt to rescue people at the mouth of the Rio Grande. The soldiers battled storm-charged waves in an inflatable raft to rescue at least one family trapped in their home, while others further inland were still refusing to go to government shelters, said Matamoros spokeswoman Leticia Montalvo.

"These are people who did not want to leave, and now they are in trouble," Montalvo said.

On Texas' South Padre Island, an apartment complex roof partially collapsed early Wednesday. Residents said they didn't believe anybody was injured. Melissa Zamora, a spokeswoman for the town of South Padre Island, said the roof collapse caused a plumbing leak and few residents were being relocated.

The causeway linking the island to the mainland remained closed early Wednesday.

Dan Quandt, a spokesman for South Padre Island emergency operations, said winds were picking up to around 50 mph and were expected to increase later Wednesday morning. He said there was a steady rain falling, but no reports of flooding. A sign on a hotel blew off, but no one was injured and it did not pose a hazard, he said.

Power was knocked out to more than 13,000 customers in Cameron County, where Brownsville is located, utility company AEP Texas said. Power also was out on South Padre Island.

In Brownsville, palm trees leaned and small debris was strewn across the all-but empty streets. The windows and doors of shops were boarded up with plywood and most businesses — including gas stations — were closed. At one gas station, workers were pelted by horizontal rain as they scrambled to lock pumps and close down.

At 11 a.m. EDT Wednesday, the storm's center was about 30 miles east of Brownsville, moving northwest at about 7 mph. The storm had maximum sustained winds of near 100 mph, and its eye was expected to hit near the border midday.

Cities and counties in the Rio Grande Valley were bracing for massive flooding and levee breaks. Tornadoes were also possible near the storm's path.

Local officials urged residents to move away from the Rio Grande levees because if Dolly continues to follow the same path as 1967's Hurricane Beulah, "the levees are not going to hold that much water," said Cameron County Emergency Management Coordinator Johnny Cavazos.

Charles Hoskins, deputy emergency management officer for Cameron County, said there were nearly 2,000 people in six shelters in the county late Tuesday.

In Hidalgo County, a little bit farther inland, six shelters holding about 900 people were open, said Cari Lambrecht, a county spokeswoman. She said people living in low-lying areas were encouraged to come to shelters.

"It's so much easier for them to go now instead of us having to pull them out later," she said.

In Mexico, Tamaulipas Gov. Eugenio Hernandez said officials planned to evacuate 23,000 people to government shelters in Matamoros, Soto La Marina and San Fernando.

The U.S. Census Bureau said that based on Dolly's projected path, about 1.5 million Texans could feel the storm's effects.

Gov. Rick Perry declared 14 south Texas counties disaster areas, allowing state resources to be used to send equipment and emergency workers to areas in the storm's path.

The storm, combined with levees that have deteriorated in the 41 years since Beulah swept up the Rio Grande, pose a major flooding threat to low-lying counties along the border. Beulah spawned more than 100 tornadoes across Texas and dumped 36 inches of rain in some parts of south Texas, killing 58 people and causing more than $1 billion damage.

"We could have a triple-decker problem here," Cavazos told a meeting of more than 100 county and local officials Tuesday. "We believe that those (levees) will be breached if it continues on the same track. So please stay away from those levees."

Around Brownsville, levees protect the historic downtown as well as preserved buildings that were formerly part of Fort Brown on the University of Texas at Brownsville campus. Outside the city, agricultural land dominates the banks of the Rio Grande, but thousands of people live in low-lying colonias, often poor subdivisions built without water and sewer utilities.

Immigration and Customs Enforcement was evacuating its Port Isabel Detention Center, said spokeswoman Nina Pruneda. Fewer than 1,000 people were being sent to other detention centers in Texas.

In the Gulf of Mexico, Shell Oil evacuated workers from oil rigs, but said it didn't expect production to be affected. It also secured wells and shut down production in the Rio Grande Valley, where it primarily deals in natural gas.

Mexico's state-run oil company, Petroleos Mexicanos, said it had evacuated 66 workers from an oil platform off the coast of the port city of Tampico. Pemex said in a statement that it had readied a team and the resources needed in case of damage to oil installations in the region.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080723/ap_on_re_us/tropical_weather;_ylt=Ag7GGig2mncWFQ1HNMYOLems0NUE

[Jolie Rouge]

Hurricane Dolly weakens as it heads through Texas
By CHRISTOPHER SHERMAN, Associated Press Writer
1 minute ago

BROWNSVILLE, Texas - Hurricane Dolly slammed into the South Texas coast Wednesday with punishing rain and winds of 100 mph, blowing down signs, damaging an apartment complex and knocking out power to thousands before weakening over land.

Local officials' greatest fear — that the levees holding back the Rio Grande would fail and cause massive flooding — eased when Dolly meandered 35 miles north of the U.S.-Mexico border just before coming ashore on South Padre Island as a Category 2 storm. About two hours later, Dolly's winds slowed to 95 mph, and the storm was downgraded to a Category 1.

"The levees are holding up just fine," said Cameron County Emergency Management Coordinator Johnny Cavazos. "There is no indication right now that they are going to crest."

The storm defied forecasts that it would swarm the mouth of the Rio Grande, pushing its current upstream and causing massive flooding on both sides of the border.

But "it's still very early in the storm," cautioned Sally Spener, a spokeswoman with the International Boundary and Water Commission.

Most of the destruction was on South Padre Island, a beach resort town on a barrier island off the Texas coast. Part of an apartment complex roof collapsed, and a hotel sign blew off. The causeway linking the island to the mainland was closed.

"I thought it was just a big clap of thunder, (then) saw this stuff flying around and it's the roof," said Buck Dopp, who lives in the ground floor apartment under the collapsed roof. Dopp and his family packed up and left the building, despite their plans to ride out the storm.

A 17-year-old boy fell from a seventh-story balcony, injuring his head, breaking his hip and fracturing his leg, said Dan Quandt, spokesman for South Padre Island emergency operations. He was being treated at an island fire station.

Forecasters warned of up to 12 inches of rain that could produce flooding in the heavily populated Rio Grande Valley. Up to 20 inches was predicted for isolated areas. Thunderstorms were attributed to Dolly as far away as Houston, 400 miles up the Texas coastline.

Even as the front edge of the storm passed over the Texas mainland, residents still needed breakfast. The few stores that were open — even without electricity — were doing brisk business before Dolly fully revved up.

"Tienes tortillas?" Jorge Herrera shouted, rushing soaking wet into Johnny's Grocery and Meat Market #2. His 3-year-old son Michelangelo, sporting a Superman T-shirt and matching underpants, was in tow.

Discovering the tortilla factories had closed before the storm and the store didn't have any to sell, the Herreras settled for a bag of charcoal, chocolate cookies and two tall cans of beer.

Store owners were most worried about the pounds of meat now sitting unrefrigerated in the July heat, but cashier Elvira Farias said her boss "wanted to stay open to serve the community. We know that some people need to buy a meal for their kids."

Residents were apparently staying put. Food was selling fast, but gas pumps were idle.

In Mexico, fields were filling with water, palm trees were bent over in the wind and beaches were closed to the public.

Mexican soldiers made a last-minute attempt to rescue people at the mouth of the Rio Grande. The soldiers battled storm-charged waves in an inflatable raft to rescue at least one family trapped in their home, while others further inland were still refusing to go to government shelters, said Matamoros spokeswoman Leticia Montalvo. "These are people who did not want to leave, and now they are in trouble," Montalvo said.

In Brownsville, palm trees leaned and small debris was strewn across the all-but empty streets. The windows and doors of shops were boarded up with plywood and most businesses were closed. Thousands were without power in Cameron, Hidalgo and Willacy counties, as well as South Padre Island. Transformers were popping in downtown Brownsville, utility officials said.

People fled to shelters in towns on both sides of the border, patrolled by local police and National Guard troops.

At Gladys Porter High School, evacuees flowed inside even as Dolly's winds dismantled a school sign. Principal Dora Sauceda said people were lined up outside when she arrived at 4:30 a.m. The shelter was quickly nearing its 300-person capacity.

Miguel Angel Cruz and his wife Maria Hernandez brought their four children to the shelter because they feared the trailer they lived in wouldn't withstand the wind and a nearby resaca — or pond formed by a bend in the Rio Grande — would flood. "Yes, we're scared," Cruz, a welder, said in Spanish as his family settled in. "It's our first hurricane."

At 2 p.m. EDT Wednesday, the storm's center had come ashore on South Padre Island about 35 miles northeast of Brownsville and was moving northwest at about 7 mph. Tornado watches were in effect for coastal counties between Corpus Christi and Houston through Wednesday afternoon.

The U.S. Census Bureau said that based on Dolly's projected path, about 1.5 million Texans could feel the storm's effects.

Gov. Rick Perry declared 14 south Texas counties disaster areas before the storm began, allowing state resources to be used to send equipment and emergency workers to areas in the storm's path.

The storm, combined with levees that have deteriorated in the 41 years since Beulah swept up the Rio Grande, posed a major flooding threat to low-lying counties along the border. Beulah spawned more than 100 tornadoes across Texas and dumped 36 inches of rain in some parts of south Texas, killing 58 people and causing more than $1 billion damage.

Around Brownsville, levees protect the historic downtown as well as preserved buildings that were formerly part of Fort Brown on the University of Texas at Brownsville campus. Outside the city, agricultural land dominates the banks of the Rio Grande, but thousands of people live in low-lying colonias, often poor subdivisions built without water and sewer utilities.

In the Gulf of Mexico, Shell Oil evacuated workers from oil rigs, but said it didn't expect production to be affected. It also secured wells and shut down production in the Rio Grande Valley, where it primarily deals in natural gas. Mexico's state-run oil company, Petroleos Mexicanos, said it had evacuated 66 workers from an oil platform off the coast of the port city of Tampico.

As Dolly approached, oil and gas producers in the Gulf of Mexico evacuated workers from 62 production platforms and eight rigs, according to the U.S. Minerals Management Service, which monitors offshore activity.

Oil production in the Gulf was down about 4.5 percent, while natural gas production was down 7.8 percent.

Dolly is the first hurricane to hit the U.S. since the fast-forming Humberto came ashore in South Texas last September. It is the 26th hurricane known to make landfall in the U.S. in July since record keeping started in 1851, according to federal researchers.

The busiest part of the Atlantic hurricane season is usually in August and September. So far this year, there have been four named storms, two of which became hurricanes. Federal forecasters predict a total of 12 to 16 named storms and six to nine hurricanes this season.

Associated Press writers Elizabeth White in Brownsville; John Porretto in Houston; John Pain in Miami; Mark Walsh in Matamoros, Mexico; Jaime Zea in Mexico City; Regina L. Burns in Dallas and video journalist Rich Matthews on South Padre Island contributed to this report.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080723/ap_on_re_us/tropical_weather;_ylt=At2fMxQ_2n7.ltvpPr91BnCs0NUE

[Jolie Rouge]

HURRICANE DOLLY
ADVISORY NUMBER 14
400 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...DOLLY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO JUST SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN
COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER
BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAFFIN BAY
NORTHWARD TO CORPUS CHRISTI HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAFFIN BAY
TO PORT O'CONNOR.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE
WATCH FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...
80 KM...NORTH OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS WILL BRING DOLLY FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHER
TEXAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW BUT WILL
SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...26.6 N...97.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/232043.shtml

[Jolie Rouge]

Tropical Storm Dolly
Advisory Number 15
1000 Pm Cdt Wed Jul 23 2008

...dolly Weakens To A Tropical Storm But Heavy Rains Continue...

At 10 Pm Cdt...0300 Utc...all Hurricane Warnings Along The Coasts Of
Texas And Mexico Have Been Discontinued.

At 10 Pm Cdt...a Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect From
Brownsville To Port Aransas Texas. Coastal Tropical Storm Warnings
Elsewhere Are Discontinued.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 1000 Pm Cdt...0300z...the Center Of Tropical Storm Dolly Was
Located Near Latitude 26.5 North...longitude 98.1 West Or About 55
Miles... 90 Km...northwest Of Brownsville Texas.

Dolly Is Moving Toward The West Near 7 Mph...11 Km/hr. A Turn Back
To The West-northwest Is Expected Tomorrow With A Slight Increase
In Forward Speed Until The System Dissipates On Friday.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 70 Mph...110 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Dolly Is Expected To Continue Weakening As It Moves Further
Inland...and Dolly Could Become A Tropical Depression By Late
Tomorrow.

Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 115 Miles...185 Km
From The Center.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 981 Mb...28.97 Inches.

Dolly Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfall Accumulations Of 8 To 12
Inches...with Isolated Amounts Of 20 Inches...over Portions Of
South Texas And Northeastern Mexico Over The Next Few Days...causing
Widespread Flooding In These Areas.

Coastal Storm Surge Flooding Will Subside Tonight.

Isolated Tornadoes Are Possible Over Portions Of South Texas Today
And Tonight.

Repeating The 1000 Pm Cdt Position...26.5 N...98.1 W. Movement
Toward...west Near 7 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...70 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...981 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 100 Am Cdt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 400
Am Cdt.

$$
Forecaster Franklin

[Jolie Rouge]

Texas begins cleanup after Hurricane Dolly
By ELIZABETH WHITE, Associated Press Writer
37 minutes ago

HARLINGEN, Texas - Residents across south Texas slogged through knee-deep muddy waters, tiptoed around downed power lines and dug through debris Thursday, but were thankful that Hurricane Dolly didn't pack the wallop they had feared.

Downed power lines remained the greatest danger, and South Texas officials urged people to stay home one more day "unless it's life or death." One person in Matamoros, Mexico, died from electrocution after walking past a power line on the ground.

Residents picked up the pieces of their houses and businesses blown apart by the storm. But as dry skies spread over the region, they were struck by relief that the storm didn't take many lives. Even so, there will be substantial cleanup: President Bush declared south Texas a disaster area to release federal funding to 15 counties, and insurance estimators put the losses at $750 million.

Rain and wind from Dolly probably doomed much of the cotton crop in Texas' Rio Grande Valley. About 92,000 acres of cotton in the region was awaiting harvest but driving rains and high winds knocked bolls to the ground, making them unsalvageable, Texas Agri Life Extension agent Rod Santa Ana said. Sorghum acres damaged by rain in early July also could be doomed, he said.

After crashing ashore on South Padre Island midday Wednesday, Dolly meandered north, leaving towns on the northern tip of the Rio Grande Valley with a surprise. Officials had feared the Rio Grande levees would breach, but the storm veered from its predicted path and they held strong.

The storm dumped as much as a foot of rain in places and brought 100 mph winds. Those winds had dropped by half Thursday morning, and forecasters canceled the tropical storm warning for the Texas coast by late morning. The storm was expected to break up by Friday, and was centered about 30 miles northwest of Laredo with maximum sustained winds of around 40 mph at 2 p.m. EDT.

A remnant on Thursday blew several roofs off houses and businesses on San Antonio's south side, about 300 miles northwest of where the storm made landfall. There were no immediate reports of injuries, and the National Weather Service sent a storm survey team to determine whether it was a tornado or strong winds.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry was scheduled to fly over the region with U.S. Sen. John Cornyn Thursday afternoon.

Down by the U.S.-Mexico border in Brownsville, the city that expected the worst had some of the least to fear.

Residents in the Cameron Park colonia cleared their yards of shingles and tree debris while mosquitoes feasted. But homes were still standing, and residents were thankful the damage wasn't so bad.

"I thought it was going to be worse than it was," Moses Izaguirre said.

A group of Harlingen residents battled a flaming live power line lying on the driveway between two homes. Neighbors rushed to bang on doors and call for people to get out.

"Stay out of the water!" a man yelled at children playing in the muddy mix. But in a sign of returning normalcy, a fire truck arrived minutes after a call to 911.

On South Padre Island, which endured the worst of Dolly's wrath, power could be out for another day, said town spokeswoman Melissa Zamora. A 9 p.m. curfew was set for the second night in row, and the National Guard and FEMA were distributing ice, water and food. Residents and visitors recalled a wild ride.

Bubba Zittle, 22, rode out Hurricane Dolly with five friends on a 65-foot double-decker party boat moored at the south end of South Padre Island.

"But we weren't partying," Zittle said. "It was throwing us around like a beanbag," The thrashing began at 9 a.m. and eased up at 8 p.m., he said, with eight-foot waves in the Laguna Madre, the strip of water between the mainland and the island, crashing over the bow.

North Texas residents Becky Wacasey and her husband, Charles, rode out the storm in their room at the South Padre Island Beach Resort hotel, which had many of its sliding glass doors blown out. Drapes flapped in the gulf breeze, and it appeared some tourists had barricaded broken windows by standing box springs in the openings.

"We kept saying 'where's the eye?' because that's when we were going to leave but the eye never came," Wacasey said. "We thought it was just going to be a little tropical storm."

Across the Rio Grande in Matamoros, Mexico, power was restored to large parts of Brownsville's sister city, and Tamaulipas Gov. Eugenio Hernandez said the lights would be on by the end of the day.

Gas stations and factories reopened as about 2,500 police and soldiers patrolled to prevent looting while many of the 13,000 people who had taken shelter returned home.

During the course of the storm, authorities rescued about 30 families from high water in Cameron County and power, including to the 911 emergency call system, remained out to about 60 percent of customers in Hidalgo County.

"The power grid is not doing too well," said Hidalgo County spokeswoman Cari Lambrecht.

The last hurricane to hit the U.S. was the fast-forming Humberto, which came ashore in southeast Texas last September.

The busiest part of the Atlantic hurricane season is usually in August and September. So far this year, there have been four named storms, two of which became hurricanes. Federal forecasters predict a total of 12 to 16 named storms and six to nine hurricanes this season.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080724/ap_on_re_us/tropical_weather;_ylt=AjaTs27FzCp4bzeZ8ogLzAms0NUE

[Jolie Rouge]

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 23 FOR REMNANTS OF DOLLY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER
CAMP SPRINGS MD AL042008
1000 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

REMNANT OF DOLLY IS SLOWING DOWN...

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING INLAND
WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN AREA OF THE TEXAS BIG BEND REGION...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF SERN ARIZONA...FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ACROSS TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE REMNANT DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED WITH DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.5 WEST OR 83 MILES...133 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PRESIDIO TEXAS.

THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.

THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED DURING SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...48 KM/HR NORTHEAST OF THE DISTURBANCE CENTER ACROSS THE BIG BEND REGION OF WEST TEXAS. HIGHER WINDS ARE LIKELY IN ELEVATED TERRAIN.

RECENT RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL MEXICO...WESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...AND PORTIONS OF ARIZONA.


SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES...

...TEXAS...

SAN MANUEL......................12.00
RANCHO VIEJO 3 SE................9.67
BROWNSVILLE 4.6 NNW..............8.62
MCALLEN 3 NW.....................8.59
PROGRESO.........................8.14
LA JOYA 11 N.....................7.17
MERCEDES 6SSE....................6.94
CORPUS CHRISTI 4 W...............6.83
PHARR 8SE........................6.77
FLOUR BLUFF 1.6 SW...............6.46
NEW BRAUNFELS....................4.88
CROSBY 1.3 NW....................4.25
PLEASANTON 1.8 WSW...............4.04
BUNKER HILL VILLAGE 3.6 NNW......3.34
TERREL COUNTY APRT...............3.23
SCHERTZ 2.1 N....................3.20
HONDO............................1.89
FORT STOCKTON....................1.75

...LOUISIANA...

OLD JEFFERSON 1 W................3.27
GRAND CHENIER 9ESE...............3.12
INNISWOLD 4E.....................3.01
SHENANDOAH 1 W...................2.73
GRAND ECORE......................2.59
LAKE ARTHUR 10SW.................2.05
PORT VINCENT 4 W.................1.90
FRENCH SETTLEMENT................1.88


DOLLYS REMNANT DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER OVERNIGHT AND THEN ON A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK INTO NEW MEXICO BY MIDDAY SATURDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS...SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...AND PORTIONS OF ARIZONA...WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER TOTALS POSSIBLE OVER AREAS WITH HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 AM CDT.

COLLINS/ORAVEC

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIAHPCAT4+shtml/260259.shtml


bye bye Dolly !

[Jolie Rouge]

Tropical Weather Outlook
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
800 Pm Edt Fri Jul 25 2008

For The North Atlantic...caribbean Sea And The Gulf Of Mexico...
The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center Is Issuing Advisories On The Remnants Of Tropical Depression Dolly...located Inland About 60 Miles West-northwest Of Presidio Texas.

An Area Of Disturbed Weather...associated With A Well-defined Tropical Wave...is Located In The Central Atlantic About 1250 Miles East Of The Leeward Islands. Upper-level Winds Are Currently Favorable For Development...and Shower Activity With This Disturbance Is Disorganized. However...conditions Could Become More Favorable For Development Over The Next Couple Of Days As The Disturbance Moves To The West-northwest Or Northwest At 15-20 Mph.