Jolie Rouge
02-09-2008, 09:08 PM
CNN and Fox News have projected Huckabee as the winner in Kansas. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/pri...ates/#20080209
http://youdecide08.foxnews.com/2008/...kend-contests/
There are also primaries or caucuses today in Nebraska, Louisiana, Washington State, and the Virgin Islands.
This post will cover today’s election results from Louisiana and Washington, as well as the GOP race in Kansas and the Democratic races in Nebraska, and the Virgin Islands. All numbers will be from CNN unless stated otherwise. http://patterico.com/2008/02/09/elec...s-ks-la-ne-wa/
Kansas (100% reporting):
Huckabee - 11,627 - 60%
McCain - 4,587 - 24%
Paul - 2,182 - 11%
Romney - 653 - 3%
Louisiana (18% reporting):
Huckabee - 10,691 - 46%
McCain - 8,619 - 37%
Paul - 1,056 - 5%
Romney - 1,922 - 8%
Clinton - 20,818 - 37%
Obama - 29,807 - 53%
Nebraska (99% reporting):
Clinton - 12.347 - 32%
Obama - 25,887 - 68%
NOTE: Nebraska caucus sites were overwhelmed with voters.
Virgin Islands:
Clinton -
Obama -
Washington (16% reporting - Republican; 87% reporting - Democratic):
Huckabee - 782 - 26%
McCain - 802 - 27%
Paul - 640 - 21%
Romney - 504 - 17%
Clinton - 8,987 - 31%
Obama - 19,545 - 68%
It looks like GOP's presumptive nominee can’t even win a plurality vote after he presumably has the thing already wrapped up. Cept maybe Washington.
If McCain does get the necessary delegates, is there a chance they could revolt at the convention?
I got lots of questions about this whole process that I can’t seem to find answers for doing google searches and whatnot. Maybe there’s some lawyers who know about this stuff floating around here.
Early LA exit poll highlights
2/9/2008, 9:53 p.m. ET
The Associated Press
(AP) — Some highlights of preliminary data from exit polls conducted for The Associated Press and television networks in the Louisiana presidential primaries Saturday:
RACE AND GENDER
In the historic Democratic contest to nominate either the first black or first woman for president, about one in four voters said gender was an important factor in their vote and about as many said that about race. Of those whites who said race was an issue in their vote, 8 in 10 of them voted for Hillary Rodham Clinton, more than those who said race wasn't important, while blacks voted for Obama in equal proportions regardless of whether they said race was important to their vote. The racial gap in Louisiana was typical of many other states this year: 8 in 10 blacks voted for Obama, while 7 in 10 whites voted for Clinton.
Unlike other Democratic contests, there was apparently no significant gender gap, with men and women voting in similar ways, even across races. Clinton won the votes of most white men, a group she has lost to Obama in some states but has tended to win in the South. Just over half of those women who said gender was important to their vote went for Clinton, while women who said gender wasn't important went almost 6 in 10 for Obama.
CONSERVATIVES VS. MODERATES
Louisiana Republicans are a typically a pretty conservative bunch, and it was no different this time. Seven in 10 Republicans called themselves conservatives, and almost half said they were "very conservative." John McCain won handily among the minority of moderates, while Mike Huckabee won among the most conservative voters. The two candidates split the votes of those who said they were "somewhat conservative."
YOUTH VS. EXPERIENCE
In the Democratic race, voters over 50 years old were more likely than those under 50 to say they were looking for a candidate with experience, and those looking for experience voted overwhelmingly for Clinton. While older whites favored change and experience about evenly, more than half of younger whites favored a candidate who would bring about needed change. But even though Obama tends to be associated with change in this campaign, most younger whites voted for Clinton instead of Obama, even those who said they wanted a candidate who could bring about change. Blacks of all ages favored change, and they voted overwhelmingly for Obama. Most younger voters were black, while most older voters were white.
FAITH AND VALUES
In the Republican race, almost half of the voters were born-again, evangelical Christians, and most of them voted for Huckabee. The former Baptist minister also won two-thirds of those voters who said they were looking for a candidate who shares their values.
SO MUCH FOR THE "STRAIGHT TALK EXPRESS"
Huckabee won at least as many of the votes of Republicans favoring a candidate who says what he believes as McCain, who is usually associated with that quality. McCain has nicknamed his campaign bus after his "straight talk" theme. McCain won overwhelmingly among those Republicans who favored a candidate with experience.
ECONOMIC CONCERNS
Given three choices, nearly half of Democratic voters said the economy was the most important issue facing the country. About three in 10 said the war in Iraq and the rest said health care. Nine in 10 Democrats rated the national economy not good or poor. Obama had a slight edge among those Democrats concerned about the economy and Iraq, while Clinton and Obama tied among voters concerned about health care.
Given four choices, one in three Republican voters said the economy was the top issue. Each of the other three choices — the war in Iraq, illegal immigration and terrorism — was picked by one in five GOP voters. Half of Republicans viewed the economy positively. Huckabee had an advantage among Republicans most concerned about the economy and terrorism, while McCain had an advantage among voters concerned about the war in Iraq. The two were about even among voters concerned about immigration.
HURRICANE KATRINA IMPACT
One in six Democratic voters and about one in 10 Republicans said Hurricane Katrina caused their families severe hardship and they have not recovered. About one in four in both parties said the storm caused severe hardship but they have recovered. Two-thirds of Republicans and a little more than a half of Democrats said Katrina did not cause their family severe hardship. There also were early indications from the exit poll that the northern part of Louisiana was a larger share of the electorate in both parties compared with past primaries, reflecting a population decline in New Orleans and other coastal areas.
___
From partial samples of 1,169 Democratic primary voters and 647 Republican primary voters conducted by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International in 30 precincts across Louisiana on Saturday. Margin of sampling error plus or minus 4 percentage points for the Democratic primary and 6 points for the Republican.
http://www.mlive.com/elections/national/index.ssf?/base/politics-13/1202609341245840.xml&storylist=electionmi
http://youdecide08.foxnews.com/2008/...kend-contests/
There are also primaries or caucuses today in Nebraska, Louisiana, Washington State, and the Virgin Islands.
This post will cover today’s election results from Louisiana and Washington, as well as the GOP race in Kansas and the Democratic races in Nebraska, and the Virgin Islands. All numbers will be from CNN unless stated otherwise. http://patterico.com/2008/02/09/elec...s-ks-la-ne-wa/
Kansas (100% reporting):
Huckabee - 11,627 - 60%
McCain - 4,587 - 24%
Paul - 2,182 - 11%
Romney - 653 - 3%
Louisiana (18% reporting):
Huckabee - 10,691 - 46%
McCain - 8,619 - 37%
Paul - 1,056 - 5%
Romney - 1,922 - 8%
Clinton - 20,818 - 37%
Obama - 29,807 - 53%
Nebraska (99% reporting):
Clinton - 12.347 - 32%
Obama - 25,887 - 68%
NOTE: Nebraska caucus sites were overwhelmed with voters.
Virgin Islands:
Clinton -
Obama -
Washington (16% reporting - Republican; 87% reporting - Democratic):
Huckabee - 782 - 26%
McCain - 802 - 27%
Paul - 640 - 21%
Romney - 504 - 17%
Clinton - 8,987 - 31%
Obama - 19,545 - 68%
It looks like GOP's presumptive nominee can’t even win a plurality vote after he presumably has the thing already wrapped up. Cept maybe Washington.
If McCain does get the necessary delegates, is there a chance they could revolt at the convention?
I got lots of questions about this whole process that I can’t seem to find answers for doing google searches and whatnot. Maybe there’s some lawyers who know about this stuff floating around here.
Early LA exit poll highlights
2/9/2008, 9:53 p.m. ET
The Associated Press
(AP) — Some highlights of preliminary data from exit polls conducted for The Associated Press and television networks in the Louisiana presidential primaries Saturday:
RACE AND GENDER
In the historic Democratic contest to nominate either the first black or first woman for president, about one in four voters said gender was an important factor in their vote and about as many said that about race. Of those whites who said race was an issue in their vote, 8 in 10 of them voted for Hillary Rodham Clinton, more than those who said race wasn't important, while blacks voted for Obama in equal proportions regardless of whether they said race was important to their vote. The racial gap in Louisiana was typical of many other states this year: 8 in 10 blacks voted for Obama, while 7 in 10 whites voted for Clinton.
Unlike other Democratic contests, there was apparently no significant gender gap, with men and women voting in similar ways, even across races. Clinton won the votes of most white men, a group she has lost to Obama in some states but has tended to win in the South. Just over half of those women who said gender was important to their vote went for Clinton, while women who said gender wasn't important went almost 6 in 10 for Obama.
CONSERVATIVES VS. MODERATES
Louisiana Republicans are a typically a pretty conservative bunch, and it was no different this time. Seven in 10 Republicans called themselves conservatives, and almost half said they were "very conservative." John McCain won handily among the minority of moderates, while Mike Huckabee won among the most conservative voters. The two candidates split the votes of those who said they were "somewhat conservative."
YOUTH VS. EXPERIENCE
In the Democratic race, voters over 50 years old were more likely than those under 50 to say they were looking for a candidate with experience, and those looking for experience voted overwhelmingly for Clinton. While older whites favored change and experience about evenly, more than half of younger whites favored a candidate who would bring about needed change. But even though Obama tends to be associated with change in this campaign, most younger whites voted for Clinton instead of Obama, even those who said they wanted a candidate who could bring about change. Blacks of all ages favored change, and they voted overwhelmingly for Obama. Most younger voters were black, while most older voters were white.
FAITH AND VALUES
In the Republican race, almost half of the voters were born-again, evangelical Christians, and most of them voted for Huckabee. The former Baptist minister also won two-thirds of those voters who said they were looking for a candidate who shares their values.
SO MUCH FOR THE "STRAIGHT TALK EXPRESS"
Huckabee won at least as many of the votes of Republicans favoring a candidate who says what he believes as McCain, who is usually associated with that quality. McCain has nicknamed his campaign bus after his "straight talk" theme. McCain won overwhelmingly among those Republicans who favored a candidate with experience.
ECONOMIC CONCERNS
Given three choices, nearly half of Democratic voters said the economy was the most important issue facing the country. About three in 10 said the war in Iraq and the rest said health care. Nine in 10 Democrats rated the national economy not good or poor. Obama had a slight edge among those Democrats concerned about the economy and Iraq, while Clinton and Obama tied among voters concerned about health care.
Given four choices, one in three Republican voters said the economy was the top issue. Each of the other three choices — the war in Iraq, illegal immigration and terrorism — was picked by one in five GOP voters. Half of Republicans viewed the economy positively. Huckabee had an advantage among Republicans most concerned about the economy and terrorism, while McCain had an advantage among voters concerned about the war in Iraq. The two were about even among voters concerned about immigration.
HURRICANE KATRINA IMPACT
One in six Democratic voters and about one in 10 Republicans said Hurricane Katrina caused their families severe hardship and they have not recovered. About one in four in both parties said the storm caused severe hardship but they have recovered. Two-thirds of Republicans and a little more than a half of Democrats said Katrina did not cause their family severe hardship. There also were early indications from the exit poll that the northern part of Louisiana was a larger share of the electorate in both parties compared with past primaries, reflecting a population decline in New Orleans and other coastal areas.
___
From partial samples of 1,169 Democratic primary voters and 647 Republican primary voters conducted by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International in 30 precincts across Louisiana on Saturday. Margin of sampling error plus or minus 4 percentage points for the Democratic primary and 6 points for the Republican.
http://www.mlive.com/elections/national/index.ssf?/base/politics-13/1202609341245840.xml&storylist=electionmi