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    Taking a Second Look at those #WIRecall Exit Polls–And Other Things
    Posted by Jake Walker, (no relation ) Wednesday, June 6th at 3:46PM EDT

    In their frantic attempt to glean something positive from last night’s shellacking in Wisconsin, we found the Obama campaign clinging (bitterly?) to the results of the exit polls. According to them, Obama was still beating Romney 51-45% in the state. Unfortunately, for them at least, they don’t even get this satisfaction anymore. Michael Barone has done the analyzing: http://www.aei.org/article/politics-...y-in-november/

    It has been emblazoned on mainstream media that the exit poll also showed Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney in the state 51%-45%. But if you think the exit poll was 4% too Democratic—and that’s in line with exit poll discrepancies with actual vote results over the last decade, as documented by the exit poll pioneer, the late Warren Mitofsky*—that result looks more like 49%-47% Romney. Or assume the remaining Milwaukee County precincts whittle Republican Governor Scott Walker’s margin over Democratic Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett to 53%-47%, which looks likely, the Obama-Romney numbers would look like 48%-48%.
    But you know what? I can’t say these results surprised me. Walker winning big is a real sign that Republicans would have a chance in that state. True, five months is an eternity in politics, but this wasn’t just any off year election. This was the biggest election since 2010, and it confirmed that year’s results: the people want common sense conservative governance. And, as @fivethirtyeight noted on Twitter: https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight/...85033284190210
    Exit polls have been highly accurate in every recent election except 1992, 1994, 1996, 1998, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2008 and 2010.
    But that’s not the only thing the Obama campaign ought to be worried about. This election found 38% of union voters broke for Walker. http://cnsnews.com/news/article/38-v...s-voted-walker Not a majority, by any means, but that’s digging deep into what is supposed to be a Democratic constituency. To add to their misery, Walker took about 18% of Obama voters. As The New Republic‘s Alec MacGillis notes, these voters displayed two major traits: recall fatigue and support for someone who was actually doing something, even though it might or might not have been their ideal way of doing those things. And he finds: http://www.tnr.com/blog/plank/103907...er-obama-voter

    Now, the Obama campaign should not take too much comfort in these Walker-Obama voters. They are, after all, swing voters, and Romney and Walker will do their best to swing them in the next few months. But they are the reason why, as I argued yesterday, a Walker win was not necessarily going to as disastrous an augur for Obama as most of the commentariat was prepared to label it.
    So, all in all, not a good day for Democrats. They got that Senate seat, but that’s about it. And things may not be a bed of roses there, either. https://twitter.com/SalenaZitoTrib/s...97049668112386


    http://www.redstate.com/ironchapman/...-other-things/
    Laissez les bon temps rouler! Going to church doesn't make you a Christian any more than standing in a garage makes you a car.** a 4 day work week & sex slaves ~ I say Tyt for PRESIDENT! Not to be taken internally, literally or seriously ....Suki ebaynni IS THAT BETTER ?

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  3. #46
    Jolie Rouge's Avatar
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    Wisconsin Success Story: Scott Walker's tax cuts have revitalized the Badger State

    Gov. Scott Walker signed into law today a $541 million tax cut returning $406 million to state technical colleges to reduce their property taxes. Another $98 million will go to low-income taxpayers, reducing the state's lowest bracket from 4.4% to 4%. Walker first proposed the rate cuts in January, and the last procedural hurdle for passage was cleared this past week when the state Assembly passed the bill 61-35. That was fast.

    The bill's passage barely rated 10 lines in The New York Times, which chose to bury the story deep inside the paper's A-section. Lefty media outlets have done all they can to keep the Wisconsin success story out of the headlines as well. Walker, who survived a truly vicious recall effort after taking on the state's unions a couple years ago, has been behind a drive that has improved the state's economy, brought accountability to the school system, and pushed the unemployment rate down to 6.1%, its lowest since 2008. A recent poll reports that 95% of business owners in the state are optimistic about the future of the economy in Wisconsin.

    The story of Wisconsin's recovery is one that Republicans around the country need to follow. More on this story at http://patriotpost.us/articles/24272
    Laissez les bon temps rouler! Going to church doesn't make you a Christian any more than standing in a garage makes you a car.** a 4 day work week & sex slaves ~ I say Tyt for PRESIDENT! Not to be taken internally, literally or seriously ....Suki ebaynni IS THAT BETTER ?

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